Oscar Predictions

[The_Return]

So with the nomination forms sent out, who/what do you thnk will be up for Oscars this year?

Ive yet to see most of the films generating buzz, but Ill be surprised if Crash doesnt get at least nominated for best picture, plus at least 1 acting award [Dillon or Cheadle, most likely]


EDIT- Typos

[Slipknot 666]

i agree

[The STE]

If there's any justice, Good Night, and Good Luck and Crash will get every nomination possible

[The_Return]

Do you know if Good Night, and Good Luck be on DVD anytime soon? It looks very good, but it didnt/isnt playing anywhere around here.

[The STE]

march 14th

[The_Return]

Originally posted by The STE
march 14th

That sucks...oh well, I just watch it after it wins:p

[alkytrio666]

Where can i get a nomination form?

[The_Return]

Are you a voting member of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences? If so, it should be in the mail.:p

[ItsAlive75]

Originally posted by alkytrio666
Where can i get a nomination form?

You can always hold your breath and go to E! online... I dunno what kind of disease you're gonna have when you're done though.

[alkytrio666]

Oh. I'm an idiot. Dammit.

[AUSTIN316426808]

Picture
-Brokeback Mountain
-Cinderella Man
-Memoirs of a Geisha
-Walk the Line
-Good Night, and Good Luck

Director
-Ang Lee
-Rob Marshall
-Steven Spielberg
-George Clooney


Actor
-David Strathairn
-Steve Martin
-Joaquin Phoenix
-Russell Crowe
-George Clooney

Actress
-Cameron Diaz
-Gwyneth Paltrow
-Reese Witherspoon
-Ziyi Zhang
-Uma Thurman

[The_Return]

No love for Crash, Austin?

[newb]

I haven't seen anything at the theatres worthy of Oscar [ i don't get to the picture films much ] but i would like to see Philip Seymore Hoffman get best actor for Capote. Only because he has always been a favorite of mine and he did get some great reviews for this film.

[AUSTIN316426808]

Originally posted by The_Return
No love for Crash, Austin?



That's just my predictions not what I'd nominate.



If it were my nominees... Phillip Seymour Hoffman,Christopher Nolan,Crash ect. ect. would all be represented.


I think Dillon will have a supporting nod but that's probably about it.

[AUSTIN316426808]

Originally posted by newb
I haven't seen anything at the theatres worthy of Oscar [ i don't get to the picture films much ] but i would like to see Philip Seymore Hoffman get best actor for Capote. Only because he has always been a favorite of mine and he did get some great reviews for this film.



Same here, He's one of my favorite actors too.

[AUSTIN316426808]

I'd rather see a powerful,well made film than a remake that did no more or less than the original.

You didn't think Phoenix did just as good as job as Foxx?


Kong will get nominations in art direction and MAYBE director,also maybe a few of the technical and set categories.


(Just opinions,not arguing)

[AUSTIN316426808]

When I said no more or less than the original I meant how good the movie was not money, I can't stand when a movie is measured by the money it made.

[AUSTIN316426808]

It Happened One Night sweep the oscars Kong's year, it wasn't even nominated for anything.



Didn't take anything wrong.

[The_Return]

It probably/definatly wont be up for any of the major awards, but Sin City will likely get at least a nom. for Visual Effects.

[slasherman]

..oscar movies usually suck....:D

[The_Return]

Originally posted by slasherman
..oscar movies usually suck....:D

Not a fan of Silence of the Lambs? As I recall, you voted for it in my tournament:p

[AUSTIN316426808]

I disagree, I usually like at least 3 out of the 5 major nominees and when acting nods are giving to films not nominated I check them out and more often than not enjoy 'em.

[The_Return]

I usually dont see many nominees until long after the awards have been given out; I rarely see movies while they're still in theatres.

[alkytrio666]

Originally posted by The_Return
It probably/definatly wont be up for any of the major awards, but Sin City will likely get at least a nom. for Visual Effects.
Dear God, I hope it does. It deserves SOMETHING. It was creative, artsy, unique...it needs some recognition.

[The STE]

Rodriguez pissed off the Director's Guild in the process of making it, it was an ensemble picture so no acting noms, and comic book movies only ever get technical awards anyways (usually for Sound Editing or something) and Kong is probably gonna sweep those anyways. I thought it was the best movie this year and I'd love it if it swept the Oscars, but it won't. But Crash and GNGL would be a hell of a consolation

[Amalthea]

Picture:

Chronicles Of Narnia

Animated feature:

Chicken Little
Madagascar

Foreign feature:

Adams Apples (Denmark)
Russian Doll (France)
Vodka Lemon (Armenia)

Sound:

Chicken Little

Visual effects:

Madagascar
Chronicles Of Narnia

Fictive character:

Alex (Madagascar)
Aslan (Chronicles Of Narnia)

:D

[bwind22]

I'll even take this a step further and perdict winners in all the main categories as well as nominations. As much as I'd like to see Sin City clean up, I think it's gonna be the gay cowboy movie that wins big this year. I don't see Sin City getting nominated for anything major at all, and only marginally for a handful of the smaller tech categories.

Best Picture-
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
King Kong
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich

Best Director-
Woody Allen (Match Point)
Steven Spielberg (Munich)
Peter Jackson (King Kong)
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)

Best Actor-
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck)
*Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man)
*Terence Howard (Hustle and Flow)

*One of those two will make the cut and one won't.

Best Actress-
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Charlize Theron (North Country)
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Keira Knightley (Pride and Predjudice)
Judi dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents...)

Supporting Actor-
Paul Giammati (Cinderella Man)
George Clooney (Syriana)
Matt Dillon (Crash)
Jake Gyllenhall (Brokeback Mountain)
Bob Hoskins (Mrs. Henderson Presents...)

Supporting Actress-
Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
Scarlett Johanson (Match Point)
Rachel Wiesz (The Constant Gardner)
Diane Keaton (The Family Stone)
Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)

Original Screenplay-
The Squid and the Whale
Crash
Match Point
Syriana
Good Night, and Good Luck

Adapted Screenplay-
Capote
Munich
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
Memoirs of a Geisha

FX-
Chronicles of Narnia
Star Wars Episode 3
Harry Potter & Goblet of Fire
King Kong
War of the Worlds

[slasherman]

Originally posted by The_Return
Not a fan of Silence of the Lambs? As I recall, you voted for it in my tournament:p
usually :p

[The STE]

for animated I'm hoping for Wallace & Gromit

[The_Return]

Originally posted by The STE
for animated I'm hoping for Wallace & Gromit

I can see that happening.

[The STE]

I might could see Howl's Moving Castle getting a nod, but a) I don't know the Academy's protocol on when something is released in relation to being eligable, and b) I don't see 2 foreign animated movies being nominated in the same year, and W&G has a better chance

[AUSTIN316426808]

Jon Stewart is hosting.

[bwind22]

Originally posted by AUSTIN316426808
Jon Stewart is hosting.


Which is pretty awesome. I've always liked him.

Chris Rock and now Jon Stewart. Gee, I wonder which generation they are trying to lure in with hosts like that.

[AUSTIN316426808]

Originally posted by AUSTIN316426808
Picture
-Brokeback Mountain
-Munich
-Memoirs of a Geisha
-Walk the Line
-Good Night, and Good Luck

Director
-Ang Lee
-Rob Marshall
-Steven Spielberg
-George Clooney
-Woody Allen

Actor
-David Strathairn
-Heath Ledger
-Joaquin Phoenix
-Russell Crowe
-Phillip Seymour Hoffman

Actress
-Cameron Diaz
-Gwyneth Paltrow
-Reese Witherspoon
-Ziyi Zhang
-Uma Thurman


-Replaced Cinderella Man with Munich(completely slipped my mind even though I had Speilberg on the director list)

-Added Woody Allen to the director list since I only had 4.

-Replaced Steve Martin and George Clooney with Heath Ledger and Phillip Seymour Hoffman.(Thought Steve Martin in Shop Girl had the whole Bill Murray-Lost in Translation thing going but I guess not. Just the opposite with Hoffman, thought he'd go under the radar again but he's finally getting the reconition he deserves,which is cool.)

-Left actress alone.

[The STE]

for best animated short: The Meaning of Life. Having seen both Rejected, and the short that beat it, I totally believe that Don Hertzfeldt got ROBBED, and since I've heard fantastic things about TMoL, I'm pretty confident that it'll at least get nominated

[newb]

They say the Golden Globes are a good prediction of whom may win.Looks like a horse race between Brokeback Mountain & Walk the Line.


anybody notice Drew's bra-less dress.....she's kinda young to be sagging like that........just an observation.

[The STE]

Originally posted by newb
They say the Golden Globes are a good prediction of whom may win.Looks like a horse race between Brokeback Mountain & Walk the Line.


anybody notice Drew's bra-less dress.....she's kinda young to be sagging like that........just an observation.

BM, WtL, and Good Night, and Good Luck.

[AUSTIN316426808]

Originally posted by The STE
for animated I'm hoping for Wallace & Gromit


Didn't it win Braveheart's year?

[The STE]

Originally posted by AUSTIN316426808
Didn't it win Braveheart's year?

best animated short, there was no animated feature back then (Shrek was the first to win that particular award)

[Despare]

I know it won't get ANY nods but I think History of Violence deserved SOME attention.

[The STE]

it might get director or screenplay. Screenplay is usually when the really good stuff gets nominated or wins (like last year with Eternal Sunshine and Sideways winning, or back when American Splendor was nominated)

[bwind22]

Originally posted by bwind22
I'll even take this a step further and perdict winners in all the main categories as well as nominations. As much as I'd like to see Sin City clean up, I think it's gonna be the gay cowboy movie that wins big this year. I don't see Sin City getting nominated for anything major at all, and only marginally for a handful of the smaller tech categories.

Best Picture-
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
King Kong
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich

Best Director-
Woody Allen (Match Point)
Steven Spielberg (Munich)
Peter Jackson (King Kong)
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)

Best Actor-
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck)
*Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man)
*Terence Howard (Hustle and Flow)

*One of those two will make the cut and one won't.

Best Actress-
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Charlize Theron (North Country)
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Keira Knightley (Pride and Predjudice)
Judi dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents...)

Supporting Actor-
Paul Giammati (Cinderella Man)
George Clooney (Syriana)
Matt Dillon (Crash)
Jake Gyllenhall (Brokeback Mountain)
Bob Hoskins (Mrs. Henderson Presents...)

Supporting Actress-
Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
Scarlett Johanson (Match Point)
Rachel Wiesz (The Constant Gardner)
Diane Keaton (The Family Stone)
Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)

Original Screenplay-
The Squid and the Whale
Crash
Match Point
Syriana
Good Night, and Good Luck

Adapted Screenplay-
Capote
Munich
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
Memoirs of a Geisha

FX-
Chronicles of Narnia
Star Wars Episode 3
Harry Potter & Goblet of Fire
King Kong
War of the Worlds


Best Picture-
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
King Kong
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich

I was 3 for 5 here and my predicted winner is still alive.

Best Director-
Woody Allen (Match Point)
Steven Spielberg (Munich)
Peter Jackson (King Kong)
Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain)
George Clooney (Good Night, and Good Luck)

3 for 5 again, but the gay cowboys made it through so my predicted winner is still hanging tough.

Best Actor-
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Capote)
Heath Ledger (Brokeback Mountain)
Joaquin Phoenix (Walk the Line)
David Strathairn (Good Night, and Good Luck)
*Russell Crowe (Cinderella Man)
*Terence Howard (Hustle and Flow)

*One of those two will make the cut and one won't.

Damn, I almost nailed this one, but my wishywashyness on Russell Crowe/Terrence Howard cost me. 4.5 out of 5.

Best Actress-
Felicity Huffman (Transamerica)
Charlize Theron (North Country)
Reese Witherspoon (Walk the Line)
Keira Knightley (Pride and Predjudice)
Judi Dench (Mrs. Henderson Presents...)

5 for 5. I aced this category.

Supporting Actor-
Paul Giammati (Cinderella Man)
George Clooney (Syriana)
Matt Dillon (Crash)
Jake Gyllenhall (Brokeback Mountain)
Bob Hoskins (Mrs. Henderson Presents...)

4 for 5 with my predicted winner making it through.

Supporting Actress-
Maria Bello (A History of Violence)
Scarlett Johanson (Match Point)
Rachel Wiesz (The Constant Gardner)
Diane Keaton (The Family Stone)
Michelle Williams (Brokeback Mountain)

Ouch, only 2 for 5 here, but my winner is still alive.

Original Screenplay-
The Squid and the Whale
Crash
Match Point
Syriana
Good Night, and Good Luck

5 for 5 again. I'm doing much better than I expected to do.

Adapted Screenplay-
Capote
Munich
Brokeback Mountain
Walk the Line
Memoirs of a Geisha

3 for 5 here but my winner is still hanging in there.

FX-
Chronicles of Narnia
Star Wars Episode 3
Harry Potter & Goblet of Fire
King Kong
War of the Worlds [/B]

Well, they only picked 3 for this category so I kinda cheated, but I did still get all 3 right.

All in all, I don't think I did too shabby at all. A few nominations were off here and there, but every one of my predicted winners is still there and I even got 5 for 5 on a few of the categorys!

[Amalthea]

Narnia for best FX too!

[scouse mac]

The special effects in Narnia are at best OK, they in no way compare to the standards set by Lord of the Rings.

Also everyone refers to Brokeback Mountain as a gay cowboy movie, but shouldn't it be a gay shepherd movie? They look after sheep not cows.

I would like to History of Violence given a nod somewhere, it was one of the strongest films last year.

[AUSTIN316426808]

Originally posted by scouse mac
Also everyone refers to Brokeback Mountain as a gay cowboy movie, but shouldn't it be a gay shepherd movie? They look after sheep not cows.



The word pretty much goes with anyone doing that kinda work.